Invesco Canada blog

Insights, commentary and investing expertise

Currency outlook: Global growth, policy convergence support longer-term U.S. dollar weakness


October 13, 2017
Subject | Institutional | Macro views

The Canadian dollar’s rally since May could be described as relentless. We view the Bank of Canada (BOC) as currently the most hawkish developed market central bank, having hiked its overnight rate by 0.25 percentage points in two back-to-back meetings, bringing its policy rate to 1.00%.1

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Is stimulus still needed in a growing global economy?


October 11, 2017
Subject | Institutional | Macro views

More signs emerged last week that we are in the throes of a synchronized global economic recovery, with emerging markets and developed markets seeing improved economic growth. As the Trump administration works to pass its tax reform package, I expect the debate over economic stimulus to accelerate. Is it still needed in a growing economy?

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Interest rate outlook: Bank of Canada likely to raise rate again

The Bank of Canada (BoC) has hiked interest rates at two consecutive meetings, bringing the overnight benchmark rate to 1.00%.1 GDP growth and employment trends remain strong, while inflation has stayed below the BoC’s 2.0% target. The Canadian 10-year government bond yield has followed an upward trend after hitting its lows in the second quarter. We believe higher rates are likely.

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Q4 market outlook: Six trends to watch


October 3, 2017
Subject | Institutional | Macro views

Last quarter saw stocks globally continue to rise. The relatively accommodative monetary policy environment and improved global growth were strong drivers. However, as we head into the fourth quarter, I think it’s important that we recognize the potential for greater disruption – in terms of both geopolitics and monetary policy – which can cause greater volatility in capital markets.

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Fed balance sheet normalization at last

The U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (the Fed) held interest rates steady at Wednesday’s meeting, with a target range of 1% – 1.25%. After preparing the markets over the last several meetings, the Fed finally announced they would begin their long-awaited balance sheet reduction plans in October 2017.

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Fed balance sheet normalization at last