Invesco Canada blog

Insights, commentary and investing expertise

The Rise of Robots


November 5, 2018
Subject | Industry views | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

How the fourth industrial revolution will transform economics, politics, and more

After two centuries of industrial transformation and change, we’ve reached what many now call the Fourth Industrial Revolution. It’s marked not by the introduction of steam power or the advent of mass production but by the rise of artificial intelligence and automation that will fundamentally transform the global division of labour.

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Is it time to boost exposure to the Value factor?

Risk isn’t a bad thing – when it’s intentionally, carefully added to a portfolio in an effort to boost returns. But hidden risks are what keep investors and financial advisors up at night. Over the past year, the Invesco Global Solutions team examined hundreds of financial advisor portfolios, and we discovered that a common source of hidden risk is unintended factor exposures that could impact the ability of the portfolios to achieve the outcomes they are looking for. Fortunately, there are ways to diagnose and address this problem.

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October lives up to its frightening reputation for investors


October 30, 2018
Subject | Institutional | Invesco

Once again, the month of October has been living up to its frightful reputation for wreaking havoc on stock prices: 1929 and 1987 are prime examples, and we can now safely say that 2018 will also go down in history as an illustration of October’s ability to scare investors. Unfortunately, I don’t foresee this volatility easing too much over the next few weeks.

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Tariffs: Examining the economic and capital market consequences

Trade tensions have escalated in recent months to a point we haven’t seen in many years. At times in the past year, protectionist threats and actions have sent stocks downward, but investors have been all too willing to believe the threat has passed at the first sign of an abatement in trade drama. For example, after downward pressure on stocks caused by trade worries, Chinese President Xi Jinping’s conciliatory speech at the Boao Forum in March was all investors needed to hear to send stocks upward. But the elation was short-lived, as it soon became clear that President Xi had no interest in making serious concessions.

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Europe: 5 Scenarios for Investors to Watch


October 3, 2018
Subject | Industry views | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

The future of the euro and that of the EU are inextricably tied according to our latest white paper, I co-authored with Jacek Rostowski, a former Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister of Poland. The big question for us is how could today’s political landscape impact the region in the coming months and years – and what does that mean for investors?

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Five things to watch in October

Perhaps the biggest news of the last week was the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the policy-making arm of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). As expected, the Fed raised interest rates. But what was far more interesting were the hints provided about the future. In this blog, I discuss my outlook for the Fed and highlight five issues to watch in October.

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Fed continues gradual hikes

The U.S. Federal Open Market committee (Fed) hiked the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point at Wednesdays meeting. This is the third rate hike this year, putting the new target range at 2.00%-2.25%. The market had fully priced in today’s move well ahead of the meeting.

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When numbers aren’t enough


September 10, 2018
Subject | Industry views | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

ESG investors must demand more than headlines from their asset managers 

Ever since the United Nations-supported Principles for Responsible Investment (UNPRI) introduced the term ESG integration back in 2006, the investment industry has sought to make it easier to identify which companies are addressing environmental, social and governance issues and which ones aren’t hitting the mark. That search has led to a proliferation of assessment tools that purport to add clarity for asset owners but instead have reduced the ESG engagement process to box-ticking. It’s an exercise that doesn’t generate any meaningful insights for investors looking to do the right thing.

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Factor Investing: The Third Pillar of Portfolio Construction

Even though it’s been around since the 1950s, factor investing is only just now gaining a toehold in the portfolios of some of Canada’s most sophisticated pension portfolios. As that happens, plan sponsors can gain a new window into asset allocation to better understand how their portfolios work in different market conditions.

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What currency pressures in Turkey and other countries may mean for investors


August 14, 2018
Subject | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

Activity in currency markets has more than tripled in the last two decades. Between 2001 and 2016, global turnover in currency markets rose from $1.2 trillion to $5.1 trillion,1 and the geopolitical disruption of the last two years has increased currency activity even further. Last week brought several significant examples of this trend in the U.K., China, Iran and – most dramatically – Turkey. Is this a sign of more disruption to come?

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Six issues driving global markets


July 10, 2018
Subject | Institutional | Invesco

As I write this, early on July 9, global stocks have hit a two-week high1 and the price of copper is rallying. Markets are clearly focusing on positive data at the moment, which is a welcome change. Below, I highlight six important things that happened last week – both positive and negative – and several upcoming issues to watch.

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Federal Reserve hikes with upbeat outlook

The U.S. Federal Open Market committee (Fed) continued their recent gradual hiking cycle by increasing the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points at today’s meeting. The target range after the hike is now 1.75%-2.00%. The financial markets had been fully expecting today’s move.

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Is the ‘synchronized’ global expansion really in sync?


May 8, 2018
Subject | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

“Getting long in the tooth” is an interesting way to describe something that is getting old and presumably nearing its end – it refers to the long-time practice of estimating a horse’s age by looking at its mouth. I’ve found myself using this expression a lot these days, as the U.S. experiences its second-longest economic expansion in the last 100 years. But investors should remember that – even as market-watchers talk about “synchronized global growth” – other economies are in much earlier stages of expansion.

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