Invesco Canada blog

Insights, commentary and investing expertise

Europe: 5 Scenarios for Investors to Watch


October 3, 2018
Subject | Industry views | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

The future of the euro and that of the EU are inextricably tied according to our latest white paper, I co-authored with Jacek Rostowski, a former Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister of Poland. The big question for us is how could today’s political landscape impact the region in the coming months and years – and what does that mean for investors?

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Five things to watch in October

Perhaps the biggest news of the last week was the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the policy-making arm of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). As expected, the Fed raised interest rates. But what was far more interesting were the hints provided about the future. In this blog, I discuss my outlook for the Fed and highlight five issues to watch in October.

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Fed continues gradual hikes

The U.S. Federal Open Market committee (Fed) hiked the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point at Wednesdays meeting. This is the third rate hike this year, putting the new target range at 2.00%-2.25%. The market had fully priced in today’s move well ahead of the meeting.

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When numbers aren’t enough


September 10, 2018
Subject | Industry views | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

ESG investors must demand more than headlines from their asset managers 

Ever since the United Nations-supported Principles for Responsible Investment (UNPRI) introduced the term ESG integration back in 2006, the investment industry has sought to make it easier to identify which companies are addressing environmental, social and governance issues and which ones aren’t hitting the mark. That search has led to a proliferation of assessment tools that purport to add clarity for asset owners but instead have reduced the ESG engagement process to box-ticking. It’s an exercise that doesn’t generate any meaningful insights for investors looking to do the right thing.

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Factor Investing: The Third Pillar of Portfolio Construction

Even though it’s been around since the 1950s, factor investing is only just now gaining a toehold in the portfolios of some of Canada’s most sophisticated pension portfolios. As that happens, plan sponsors can gain a new window into asset allocation to better understand how their portfolios work in different market conditions.

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What currency pressures in Turkey and other countries may mean for investors


August 14, 2018
Subject | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

Activity in currency markets has more than tripled in the last two decades. Between 2001 and 2016, global turnover in currency markets rose from $1.2 trillion to $5.1 trillion,1 and the geopolitical disruption of the last two years has increased currency activity even further. Last week brought several significant examples of this trend in the U.K., China, Iran and – most dramatically – Turkey. Is this a sign of more disruption to come?

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Six issues driving global markets


July 10, 2018
Subject | Institutional | Invesco

As I write this, early on July 9, global stocks have hit a two-week high1 and the price of copper is rallying. Markets are clearly focusing on positive data at the moment, which is a welcome change. Below, I highlight six important things that happened last week – both positive and negative – and several upcoming issues to watch.

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Federal Reserve hikes with upbeat outlook

The U.S. Federal Open Market committee (Fed) continued their recent gradual hiking cycle by increasing the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points at today’s meeting. The target range after the hike is now 1.75%-2.00%. The financial markets had been fully expecting today’s move.

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Is the ‘synchronized’ global expansion really in sync?


May 8, 2018
Subject | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

“Getting long in the tooth” is an interesting way to describe something that is getting old and presumably nearing its end – it refers to the long-time practice of estimating a horse’s age by looking at its mouth. I’ve found myself using this expression a lot these days, as the U.S. experiences its second-longest economic expansion in the last 100 years. But investors should remember that – even as market-watchers talk about “synchronized global growth” – other economies are in much earlier stages of expansion.

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Five things to watch in April


April 3, 2018
Subject | Institutional | Invesco | Macro views

The first quarter of the year has ended with major developed market indices down slightly and major emerging market indices up slightly. But those numbers belie a very turbulent period in which stocks were whipsawed. Bonds also experienced gyrations, with the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury moving from 2.41% at the start of the quarter to a peak of 2.94% and ending at 2.74%.1 As we begin the second quarter, there are five critical things to watch.

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Investing in emerging markets: Multinationals vs. local


March 29, 2018
Subject | Active management | Institutional

I am often asked why an investor should invest in local businesses in emerging markets instead of putting their money in large multinational companies. For example, why invest in Amorepacific Corp., a Korean cosmetics company, over Revlon, a multinational that derives a portion of its revenue from sales in emerging markets? This is a fair question, and as a long-term global investor, I will outline my thoughts on it in this blog post.

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Why truly active managers aren’t afraid of rising rates

With interest rates starting to rise, many investors are wondering what impact, if any, the move upward might have on their portfolios. We asked Marina Pomerantz, a portfolio manager on the Trimark Global Equities team and Neeraj Khosla, an investment analyst covering emerging-market (EM) equities for the same team, for their views on the current interest-rate environment.

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