Invesco Canada blog

Insights, commentary and investing expertise

Market review: What to look for in Trump’s budget, and beyond


May 31, 2017
Subject | Institutional | Macro views

Investors have no shortage of headlines to absorb as we approach the summer months. Below, I highlight three key takeaways from the U.S. last week, featuring a new federal budget proposal from the Trump administration – and preview three questions that will be answered this week concerning jobs, productivity and growth in North America.

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Currency outlook: Continued CAD volatility

The Canadian dollar weakened significantly in April, breaking out of its one-year range. A combination of factors contributed to the weakness. Higher U.S. oil production and lower oil prices have put pressure on the Canadian currency. The announcement of U.S. tariffs on Canadian softwood exports has also been a factor. Third, the recent liquidity problems of a Canadian subprime mortgage lender have played a role. Despite the recent strength in the latter half of May, we believe weakness in the Canadian dollar is likely to continue.

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Is this the start of a long-awaited up cycle in Asian markets?

Last November, the Invesco International and Global Growth team reported that in Asia ex-Japan, the building blocks were in place to shore up top-line growth. Our outlook for Earnings, Quality and Valuation (EQV) was cautiously positive. 2016 marked the first time in five years where consensus earnings forecasts did not collapse at year-end, and an upward bias to earnings forecasts has continued into 2017. Is this the beginning of a new earnings growth cycle?

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Improvement signals in international equity markets

The Invesco International and Global Growth team has been managing international equities for 25 years. In that time, we’ve seen the performance pendulum swing widely across global regions and investment styles. But no matter the market conditions, our focus on EQV – Earnings, Quality and Valuation – has remained constant.

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A closer look at Ontario’s Fair Housing Plan


May 17, 2017
Subject | Institutional | Macro views

In April, the Ontario government announced a 16-point plan to make housing more affordable. In general, its intention is to help level the playing field, balancing the interest in maintaining a viable real estate market in the greater Toronto area with ensuring that middle- and lower-income families can afford to live in that area.

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