Invesco Canada blog

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Invesco Canada | June 5, 2019

Who’s afraid of volatility?

Every year, investors are treated to a comparison between the performance of actively managed funds and the S&P 500 Index. The SPIVA® U.S. Scorecard[i], issued by S&P Dow Jones Indices, usually paints a pretty grim picture of active managers in the U.S. equity space.

This year’s report, covering performance to the end of 2018, was no different, finding that 64.49% of U.S. equity managers (in the U.S.) lagged the Index. The report cited the return of volatility as a contributing factor to this widespread underperformance.

This can lead to some uncomfortable client conversations for advisors about the role of active management.

So why on earth is Invesco bringing this up?

Firstly, we believe that looking at a single calendar year is far too simplistic – people do not generally buy their investments on January 2 and sell them on December 31.

Secondly, one year is a very short period, in terms of investment horizon. We believe most investors are in it for the long haul, and therefore long-term performance is what matters.

Thirdly, the report makes no mention of closet indexers – purportedly active funds that closely hug their respective benchmark. It can be very, very difficult for closet indexers to beat the index

And let’s leave aside the fact that you cannot invest in an index – even the lowest cost S&P 500 ETF charges a fee and will therefore underperform the index.

Long-term performance

While we cannot speak to the investment processes of our competitors, we can share our insights into what we believe is the key to strong long-term performance: a concentrated portfolio of deeply researched, high-conviction investments.

One such example is Invesco U.S. Companies Fund, which, over the long term, has handily beaten not only the Index, but the average return for U.S. equity funds.

Source: Morningstar Research Inc. as at April 30, 2019. Category average is defined as the average of the funds within the Morningstar U.S. Equity category. You cannot invest directly in an index. The benchmark for the Fund is the S&P 500 Index (C$) and is used for comparison purposes against peer funds in the U.S. Equity category.

To aim for potential long-term results, veteran portfolio manager Jim Young seeks high-quality, growing companies that are focused on:

  1. Continual innovation and reinvestment, which can drive market share gains, enhance scale and reduce the business’ cost structure;
  2. Enhancing shareholders returns and growing free cash flow

The Fund will invest in such high-quality companies only if their valuations appear sensible. This helps avoid the risk of overpaying for growth, which can lead to permanent loss of capital.

Portfolio risk is also addressed through diversification and ensuring the Fund is not overexposed to any specific business risk.

Cash holdings are kept to a minimum, as a build-up of sidelined capital risks missing out on potential growth.

A positive view on volatility

As mentioned above, the SPIVA report cited volatility as a contributing factor to the majority of funds lagging the Index.

As true active managers, we view volatility differently than our closet-indexing competitors. A volatile market can provide the opportunity to invest at attractive prices and potentially upgrade the quality of our portfolio.

We greet volatility. We welcome it into the market, and we view it as our friends.

It’s nice to see it back again.

Invesco U.S. Companies Fund highlights

Sources: Morningstar Research Inc. and FactSet Research Systems Inc., as at April 30, 2019. Calculation benchmark: The benchmark for the Fund is the S&P 500 Index (C$) and is used for comparison purposes against peer funds in the U.S. Equity category. You cannot invest directly in an index. Invesco U.S Companies Fund is 1st  percentile since manager inception. Time period is from March 1, 2000.

[1]The SPIVA Scorecard is a robust, widely-referenced research piece conducted and published by S&P DJI that compares actively managed funds against their appropriate benchmarks on a semiannual basis.

Annualized returns 1-yr 3-yr 5-yr 10-yr
(%) (%) (%) (%)
Invesco U.S. Companies Fund, Series F 16.88 19.00 16.14 16.40
S&P 500 TR C$ 19.09 17.64 16.27 16.76
Average U.S Equity Fund 13.79 13.71 12.10 13.27
Quartile ranking (Series F) 2 1 1 1
Number of funds 2235 1574 1015 425

Source: Morningstar Research Inc., as at April 30, 2019

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The opinions referenced above are those of the author as of June 4, 2019. These comments should not be construed as recommendations, but as an illustration of broader themes. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions; there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations.
Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses may all be associated with mutual fund investments. The indicated rates of return are the historical annual compounded total returns, including changes in security values and reinvestment of all distributions, and do not take into account sales, redemption, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any securityholder, which would have reduced returns. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. Please read the prospectus before investing. Copies are available from your advisor or from Invesco Canada Ltd.
Series F is available only to eligible investors who have fee-based accounts with their Dealer and whose Dealer has signed an Invesco Series F Dealer agreement with Invesco Canada. Sales charges and trailing commissions are not payable for Series F units/shares; however investors may pay other fees to their Dealer for investment advice and other services. Other series’ performance (and star ratings) will differ due to fees and expenses.
Quartile/percentile rankings are determined by Morningstar Research Inc., an independent research firm. Quartile percentile rankings are comparisons of the performance of funds within a defined category of other funds in that category, over defined time periods. Quartile/percentile rankings are subject to change monthly. The quartiles divide that data into four equal segments expressed in terms of rank (1, 2, 3 or 4). The percentiles divide the data into one hundred equal segments expressed in terms of rank (1, 2, 3 … 100). This is the Morningstar quartile/percentile ranking of Series F units of the Fund as of April 31, 2019.